But Matheson has his own poll and his own numbers.
They show him leading Love by two points.
But Matheson isn't just running against Love.
He's also, in a way, running against Mitt Romney and running in a new, more conservative district.
Both present challenges.
In Utah's political circles, it's being called the “Romney Tsunami."
With Mitt Romney at the top of the election ticket - and with Utahns expected to vote for him in big numbers - that could help other Republicans like Mia Love.
For more on the Romney Tsunami, watch this week’s “On the Record.
It’s a special election preview and can be seen Sunday morning at 7:30 and on our website abc4.com
FOLLOW CHRIS VANOCUR ON TWITTER: @cvan4